tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1085674423260271235.post818249236637648702..comments2023-05-27T21:41:24.254-04:00Comments on The Audacity of Hoops: Upset Warning: Extra PossessionsDavid Hesshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13265280700529267139noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1085674423260271235.post-9771929043019705672010-03-15T09:27:45.834-04:002010-03-15T09:27:45.834-04:00Thanks Philip, I'm intrigued as well. As you ...Thanks Philip, I'm intrigued as well. As you can see above, Murray State is NOT on the upset watch list this year.<br /><br />As for my similarity predictions, I haven't had time to update my database to include the results of the conference tournaments yet. But using data that is a few days old, my system shows Vandy with a 74% chance of winning, compared to only 60% using the straight Pomeroy numbers. So Vandy is relatively safe - but there are no gimmes in the NCAA tourney (outside the 15/16 seeds).David Hesshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13265280700529267139noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1085674423260271235.post-61909484277818398162010-03-15T01:53:23.094-04:002010-03-15T01:53:23.094-04:00Fascinating stuff. I'm intrigued by your ear...Fascinating stuff. I'm intrigued by your early successes. Look forward to what your model says about Vanderbilt-Murray St., since most of our fans are in denial about our low efficiency.PhilipVU94http://savetheshield.comnoreply@blogger.com